
How many days do I need for a migration safari?
Baseline decision available
The Decision in One Line
Migration-focused trips need more time than standard safaris
What This Depends On
Key Assumptions
Crossing probability increases significantly with nights spent in crossing zone.
High confidenceMigration positioning often requires transit between regions.
High confidenceMigration focus typically requires 2-4 more days than standard safari.
High confidenceThis might change if...
If trip is under 7 days, focus on calving or accept migration as bonus.
If crossings are priority, minimum 4-5 nights in crossing zone.
If flexible on time, 10-12 days provides best migration experience.
If budget limits length, prioritize nights in key zone over breadth.
Trade-offs to Understand
What you gain
+
8-12 days: Allows proper positioning and waiting time+
4-5 nights in crossing zone: ~70% crossing probability+
Extra days: Flexibility to follow herd movementsWhat you accept
-
Longer trip: Higher total cost-
5-7 days: ~40% crossing probability at best-
Short trip focused on migration: High disappointment riskEvidence to Know
Crossing probability increases significantly with nights spent in crossing zone.
Common but variable
Safari planningMigration positioning often requires transit between regions.
Well-established pattern
Safari planningMigration focus typically requires 2-4 more days than standard safari.
Common but variable
Safari planning8-12 days: Allows proper positioning and waiting time
Trade-off considerationLonger trip: Higher total cost
Trade-off considerationRelated Decisions
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