When is the best time to see river crossings?
Baseline decision available
The Decision in One Line
River crossings cannot be guaranteed regardless of timing
What This Depends On
Key Assumptions
Crossings depend on herd behavior, water levels, and predator presence; none is predictable.
High confidenceJuly-October offers the best odds for crossings in northern Serengeti or Mara.
High confidenceCamps near known crossing points significantly improve odds.
High confidenceThis might change if...
If crossings are essential, stay minimum 4-5 nights near crossing points.
If trip is short, treat crossings as bonus not goal.
If willing to wait, guides can position for best odds with patience.
If dates are flexible, follow real-time migration reports before booking.
Trade-offs to Understand
What you gain
+
Peak season: Herds are in the area+
Strategic camp placement: Near known crossing points+
Extended stays: More opportunitiesWhat you accept
-
Cannot guarantee any crossing sighting-
Waiting at crossing points is time-intensive-
Herds may cross early morning or at nightEvidence to Know
Crossings depend on herd behavior, water levels, and predator presence; none is predictable.
Well-established pattern
Safari planningJuly-October offers the best odds for crossings in northern Serengeti or Mara.
Well-established pattern
Safari planningCamps near known crossing points significantly improve odds.
Common but variable
Safari planningPeak season: Herds are in the area
Trade-off considerationCannot guarantee any crossing sighting
Trade-off considerationRelated Decisions
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